News/Commentary

2022 Bowl Confidence Points

January 2, 2023 by CollegeFootballPoll.com Staff

Confidence Points is a popular pick 'em game for college football fans that presents the dual challenge of picking the winners and assigning points to each pick. We can't count the Championship game since we don't know who's playing in it, so that leaves us with 41 games we can use. Assign 41 to the pick that gives you the most confidence, and assign 1 to the pick that gives you the least confidence. No number can be assigned more than once. A perfect record this year would be a total score of 861.

Here is how the computer (Congrove Computer Rankings at CollegeFootballPoll.com) ranks its' picks, based on its' projected margin of victory for each bowl winner.

The computer captured a lousy 350 (49.8%) of the possible 703-point perfect score in 2021 after getting 72% of the 325-point perfect score in 2020, and 69% of a possible 780-point perfect score in 2019.

(Original upload: December 5. Latest update for results posted for all games.

Pts. Bowl Game Date Computer's Pick Pts. Won Pts. Lost
41. Armed Forces 12/22 Baylor 12.95 over Air Force   41
40. Birmingham 12/27 East Carolina 11.80 over Coastal Carolina 40  
39. Frisco 12/20 Boise State 11.79 over North Texas 39  
38. Fiesta 12/31 Michigan 10.75 over TCU   38
37. Alamo 12/29 Texas 10.43 over Washington   37
36. Gasparilla 12/23 Wake Forest 10.07 over Missouri 36  
35. Liberty 12/28 Arkansas 9.40 over Kansas 35  
34. Holiday 12/28 Oregon 9.34 over North Carolina 34  
33. Myrtle Beach 12/19 Marshall 9.29 over Connecticut 33  
32. First Responder 12/27 Memphis 8.79 over Utah State 32  
31. Sugar 12/31 Alabama 7.62 over Kansas State 31  
30. Sun 12/30 Pittsburgh 7.26 over UCLA 30  
29. Independence 12/23 Houston 6.76 over Louisiana-Lafayette 29  
28. Las Vegas 12/17 Oregon State 6.67 over Florida 28  
27. Lending Tree 12/17 Southern Miss 6.33 over Rice 27  
26. Gator 12/30 Notre Dame 6.32 over South Carolina 26  
25. Bahamas 12/16 UAB 5.96 over Miami (O) 25  
24. New Mexico 12/17 BYU 5.85 over SMU 24  
23. Cheez-It 12/29 Florida State 5.54 over Oklahoma 23  
22. Hawaii 12/24 San Diego 5.52 over MTSU   22
21. Pinstripe 12/29 Minnesota 5.25 over Syracuse 21  
20. Arizona 12/30 Ohio 5.19 over Wyoming 20  
19. Cure 12/16 UTSA 5.02 over Troy   19
18. Fenway 12/17 Louisville 4.90 over Cincinnati 18  
17. Military 12/28 UCF 4.74 over Duke   17
16. Music City 12/31 Iowa 3.87 over Kentucky 16  
15. Boca Raton 12/20 Toledo 3.23 over Liberty 15  
14. Peach 12/31 Ohio State 2.99 over Georgia   14
13. ReliaQuest 1/2 Mississippi State 2.83 over Illinois 13  
12. Guaranteed Rate 12/27 Oklahoma State 2.69 over Wisconsin   12
11. Orange 12/30 Tennessee 2.20 over Clemson 11  
10. Texas 12/28 Ole Miss 2.16 over Texas Tech   10
9. L.A. 12/17 Washington State 1.73 over Fresno State   9
8. Cotton 1/2 USC 1.62 over Tulane   8
7. Camellia 12/27 Georgia Southern 1.47 over Buffalo   7
6. Famous Idaho Potato 12/20 Eastern Michigan 0.92 over San Jose State 6  
5. Duke's Mayo 12/30 NC State 0.88 over Maryland   5
4. New Orleans 12/21 Western Kentucky 0.79 over South Alabama 4  
3. Citrus 1/2 Purdue 0.42 over LSU   3
2. Rose 1/2 Utah 0.24 over Penn State   2
1. Quick Lane 12/26 BGSU 0.16 over New Mexico State   1
Totals
 616 245
Maximum Points Possible (perfect score=861) 616  

Also See: 2021 Confidence Points, 2020 Confidence Points, 2019 Confidence Points, 2018 Confidence Points, 2017 Confidence Points