News/Commentary

2017 Bowl Confidence Points

January 2, 2018 by Staff

Confidence Points is a popular pick 'em game for college football fans that presents the dual challenge of picking the winners and assigning points to each pick. We can't count the Championship game since we don't know who's playing in it, so that leaves us with 39 games we can use. Assign 39 to the pick that gives you the most confidence, and assign 1 to the pick that gives you the least confidence. No number can be assigned more than once. A perfect record this year would be a total score of 780.

Here is how the computer (Congrove Computer Rankings at CollegeFootballPoll.com) would rank its' picks, based on its' projected margin of victory for each bowl winner:

Pts. Bowl Game Computer's Pick Pts. Won Pts. Lost
39. Bahamas Ohio 21.48 over Alabama-Birmingham 39  
38. Independence Florida State 18.61 over Southern Miss 38  
37. Military NAVY 12.24 over Virginia 37  
36. Boca Raton FAU 11.82 over Akron 36  
35. Liberty MEMPHIS 11.30 over Iowa State   35
34. New Orleans Troy 11.29 over North Texas 34  
33. Cotton Ohio State 11.16 over Southern California 33  
32. Music City Northwestern 10.35 over Kentucky 32  
31. Cure Western Kentucky 8.51 over Georgia State   31
30. Peach Auburn 8.36 over Central Florida   30
29. Birmingham South Florida 8.24 over Texas Tech 29  
28. Sun N.C. State 8.11 over Arizona State 28  
27. New Mexico Colorado State 7.06 over Marshall   27
26. Dollar General Toledo 6.43 over Appalachian State   26
25. Hawai'i Houston 6.02 over Fresno State   25
24. Fiesta Penn State 5.95 over Washington 24  
23. Gasparilla Temple 5.64 over Florida International 23  
22. Cactus Kansas State 5.6 over Ucla 22  
21. Frisco Southern Methodist 5.31 over Louisiana Tech   21
20. Holiday Washington State 5.21 over Michigan State   20
19. Orange Wisconsin 5.16 over MIAMI 19  
18. Outback Michigan 4.62 over South Carolina   18
17. TaxSlayer Louisville 4.5 over Mississippi State   17
16. Arizona Utah State 4.28 over New Mexico State   16
15. Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Utah 4.21 over West Virginia 15  
14. Camellia Arkansas State 3.92 over Middle Tennessee   14
13. Belk Wake Forest 3.59 over Texas A&M 13  
12. Pinstripe Iowa 2.95 over Boston College 12  
11. Alamo Stanford 2.93 over Texas Christian   11
10. Quick Lane Duke 1.75 over Northern Illinois 10  
9. Citrus Louisiana State 1.48 over Notre Dame   9
8. Foster Farms Arizona 1.42 over Purdue   8
7. Las Vegas Boise State 1.31 over Oregon 7  
6. Texas Texas 0.88 over Missouri 6  
5. Sugar Alabama 0.58 over Clemson 5  
4. Armed Forces San Diego State 0.51 over Army   4
3. Famous Idaho Potato Wyoming 0.39 over Central Michigan 3  
2. Camping World Oklahoma State 0.32 over Virginia Tech 2  
1. Rose Georgia 0.07 over Oklahoma 1  
Total 468 312
Maximum Points Possible (perfect score=780)
 468  
Team in CAPS is Home