News/Commentary

2019 Bowl Confidence Points - Final Tally Reaches Amazing 538

January 7, 2020 by CollegeFootballPoll.com Staff

(Original upload: December 16. Last update for results: January 6 FINAL)

Confidence Points is a popular pick 'em game for college football fans that presents the dual challenge of picking the winners and assigning points to each pick. We can't count the Championship game since we don't know who's playing in it, so that leaves us with 39 games we can use. Assign 39 to the pick that gives you the most confidence, and assign 1 to the pick that gives you the least confidence. No number can be assigned more than once. A perfect record this year would be a total score of 780.

Here is how the computer (Congrove Computer Rankings at CollegeFootballPoll.com) would rank its' picks, based on its' projected margin of victory for each bowl winner (true home team in CAPS where applicable):

Pts. Bowl Game Date Computer's Pick Pts. Won Pts. Lost
39. New Orleans 12/22 Appalachian State 21.52 over Ala.-Birmingham 39  
38. Cotton 12/28 Penn State 18.02 over Memphis 38  
37. Quick Lane 12.26 Pittsburgh 16.78 over Eastern Michigan 37  
36. Liberty 12/31 Kansas State 16.55 over Navy   36
35. Cheez-It 12/27 Washington State 15.94 over Air Force   35
34. Lending Tree 12/22 Louisiana-Lafayette 15.91 over Miami (O) 34  
33. Orange 12/29 Florida 14.37 over Virginia 33  
32. Las Vegas 12/21 Washington 13.26 over Boise State 32  
31. Independence 12/26 Miami (FLA) 12.50 over Louisiana Tech   31
30. Peach (Playoff Semifinal) 12/28 Louisiana State 12.42 over Oklahoma 30  
29. Famous Idaho Potato 1/3 Ohio 11.55 over Nevada 29  
28. Gasparilla 12/23 Central Florida 11.53 over Marshall 28  
27. Sugar 1/1 Georgia 11.32 over Baylor 27  
26. Military 12/27 North Carolina 10.19 over Temple 26  
25. Alamo 12/31 Utah 9.02 over Texas   25
24. Music City 12/30 Mississippi State 8.20 over Louisville   24
23. Camping World 12/28 Notre Dame 8.06 over Iowa State 23  
22. Cure 12/21 Georgia Southern 7.63 over Liberty   22
21. Arizona 12/31 Wyoming 7.22 over Georgia State 21  
20. Texas 12/27 Texas A&M 7.11 over Oklahoma State 20  
19. Pinstripe 12/27 Michigan State 7.01 over Wake Forest 19  
18. Bahamas 12/20 Buffalo 6.72 over Charlotte 18  
17. Outback 1/1 Auburn 6.38 over Minnesota   17
16. New Mexico 12/21 San Diego State 5.73 over Central Michigan 16  
15. Holiday 12/27 Iowa 5.58 over Southern California 15  
14. Fiesta 12/28 Ohio State 4.76 over Clemson   14
13. Frisco 12/20 Utah State 4.34 over Kent State   13
12. SERVPRO First Responders 12/30 Western Michigan 3.25 over Western Kentucky   12
11. Boca Raton 12/21 FAU 3.21 over Southern Methodist 11  
10. Sun 12/31 Arizona State 2.30 over Florida State 10  
9. Armed Forces 1/4 Tulane 2.15 over Southern Miss 9  
8. Hawaii 12/24 Brigham Young 2 over HAWAII   8
7. Belk 12/31 Kentucky 1.97 over Virginia Tech 7  
6. Rose 1/1 Oregon 1.67 over Wisconsin 6  
5. Redbox 12/30 Illinois 1.04 over California   5
4. Citrus 1/1 Alabama 1 over Michigan 4  
3. TicketSmarter Birmingham 1/2 Cincinnati 0.52 over Boston College 3  
2. Gator 1/1 Tennessee 0.09 over Indiana 2  
1. Camellia 12/21 Arkansas State 0.08 over Florida International 1  
Totals (As of January 6 - FINAL)
 538 242
Maximum Points Possible (perfect score=780) 538  
Team in CAPS is Home (FAU in Boca Raton Bowl, Hawaii in Hawaii Bowl)

Also See: 2018 Confidence Points, 2017 Confidence Points