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2016
College Football
Season Preview

Congrove Computer Rankings
Projected Final Regular Season
CCR Top 128
(Updated: 8/23/16)


Here are the computer's Projected Final Rankings for the end of the regular season. They do not include bowl games, nor the conference title games for the American, ACC, Big Ten, CUSA, MAC, Mountain West, PAC-12 and SEC. These are NOT presented in order of team power. They reflect a combination of team power and W-L record.

College Football Poll.com's unique preseason forecast is based on the Congrove Computer Rankings which "plays" every game and projects what should happen based on a number of factors that include each teams' returning talent and difficulty of schedule.

Since its inception in 1993, the computer's preseason projections have correctly pegged at least one national title contestant 12 times (1993, 1995, 1996, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2007 and 2011), and half of the final four in the inaugural college football playoffs in 2014.

It's not unusual for the computer to forecast undefeated regular season records for multiple teams. Given the fact that each team plays less than 10% of the 128-team field, the argument could be made that multiple teams should well out-perform the field each and every season. However, math can not predict which teams will succumb to pressure, make too many mistakes, take the huge underdog opponent lightly, lose key players to injuries, or encounter bad luck.

That's why no one can claim a trophy until the games are played and won.

About the computer.

Click on the School link to see projected game-by-game results.

*-Denotes game canceled due to weather.


PROJECTED TEAM RANKINGS (End of Regular Season)
Rank School W-L
1. Alabama 12-0
2. Florida State 12-0
3. Oklahoma 12-0
4. Michigan State 12-0
5. Stanford 12-0
6. LSU 11-1
7. Tennessee 11-1
8. San Diego State 12-0
9. BYU 11-1
10. Oklahoma State 11-1
11. Clemson 11-1
12. North Carolina 11-1
13. Houston 11-1
14. Western Kentucky 11-1
15. Appalachian State 11-1
16. Washington State 10-2
17. Northwestern 10-2
18. Western Michigan 11-1
19. Iowa 10-2
20. TCU 10-2
21. Utah 10-2
22. Wisconsin 9-3
23. Memphis 10-2
24. Toledo 10-2
25. Ohio State 9-3
26. USF 10-2
27. Boise State 10-2
28. Pittsburgh 9-3
29. Louisville 9-3
30. Arkansas 9-3
31. Washington 9-3
32. Georgia 9-3
33. Marshall 9-3
34. Michigan 8-4
35. USC 8-4
36. Mississippi 8-4
37. Georgia State 9-3
38. Connecticut 9-3
39. Notre Dame 8-4
40. Air Force 9-3
41. New Mexico 9-3
42. N. C. State 8-4
43. Bowling Green 8-4
44. Navy 8-4
45. Central Michigan 8-4
46. Northern Illinois 8-4
47. Texas Tech 8-4
48. San Jose State 8-4
49. Nevada 8-4
50. Southern Miss 8-4
51. Temple 8-4
52. Mississippi State 7-5
53. UCLA 7-5
54. Georgia Southern 8-4
55. Old Dominion 8-4
56. Oregon 7-5
57. Penn State 7-5
58. Virginia Tech 7-5
59. Nebraska 7-5
60. Louisiana Tech 7-5
61. Rice 7-5
62. Tulsa 7-5
63. Ohio 7-5
64. Texas 6-6
Rank School W-L
65. West Virginia 6-6
66. Duke 6-6
67. Florida 6-6
68. Idaho 7-5
69. Baylor 6-6
70. Vanderbilt 6-6
71. Indiana 6-6
72. Louisiana-Lafayette 7-5
73. Kentucky 6-6
74. Utah State 6-6
75. Middle Tennessee 6-6
76. Wake Forest 6-6
77. Auburn 5-7
78. Texas A&M 5-7
79. Arizona 5-7
80. Buffalo 6-6
81. Minnesota 6-6
82. FIU 6-6
83. Troy 6-6
84. Miami (Fla.) 5-7
85. UTEP 6-6
86. Cincinnati 5-7
87. Boston College 5-7
88. Colorado State 5-7
89. California 4-8
90. Arkansas State 5-7
91. Colorado 4-8
92. Kansas State 4-8
93. Kent State 4-8
94. Missouri 4-8
95. FAU 4-8
96. Miami (O.) 4-8
97. East Carolina 4-8
98. Army West Point 3-9
99. Arizona State 3-9
100. Akron 3-9
101. Rutgers 3-9
102. Wyoming 3-9
103. Illinois 3-9
104. New Mexico State 3-9
105. SMU 3-9
106. Charlotte 3-9
107. Hawaii 3-10
108. Georgia Tech 2-10
109. Purdue 2-10
110. Ball State 2-10
111. Maryland 2-10
112. Iowa State 2-10
113. Fresno State 2-10
114. UNLV 2-10
115. South Carolina 2-10
116. South Alabama 2-10
117. UCF 2-10
118. UTSA 2-10
119. Massachusetts 2-10
120. Louisiana-Monroe 2-10
121. Syracuse 1-11
122. Virginia 1-11
123. Eastern Michigan 1-11
124. Oregon State 1-11
125. Tulane 1-11
126. Kansas 1-11
127. North Texas 1-11
128. Texas State 1-11

CONFERENCE POWER RANKINGS
Rank Conference Power
1. SEC 75.16
2. PAC-12 73.79
3. ACC 72.10
4. Big Ten 71.86
5. Big 12 69.72
6. MAC 65.76
Rank Conference Power
7. Independents 65.391
8. American 65.389
9. Mountain West 63.86
10. CUSA 62.34
11. Sun Belt 58.89

DIVISION POWER RANKINGS
Rank Conference Power
1. SEC West 81.65
2. PAC-12 South 74.18
3. ACC Atlantic 73.62
4. PAC-12 North 73.41
5. Big Ten East 72.27
6. Big Ten West 71.44
7. ACC Coastal 70.57
8. Big 12 69.72
9. SEC East 68.67
10. MAC West 67.32
Rank Conference Power
11. American West 66.39
12. Independents 65.39
13. CUSA East 65.34
14. MWC Mountain 65.06
15. American East 64.39
16. MAC East 64.19
17. MWC West 62.66
18. Sun Belt 58.89
19. CUSA West 58.85

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