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2012
College Football
Season Preview

Congrove Computer Rankings
Projected Final Regular Season
CCR Top 124
(Updated: 8/27/12)


These are the computer's Projected Final Rankings for the end of the regular season. They do not include the ACC, Big Ten, CUSA, MAC, PAC-12 and SEC Championship games or Bowl Games. These are NOT presented in order of team power. They reflect a combination of team power and W-L record.

College Football Poll.com's unique preseason forecast is based on the Congrove Computer Rankings which "plays" every game and projects what should happen based on a number of factors that include each teams' returning talent and difficulty of schedule.

Since its inception in 1993, the computer's preseason projections have correctly pegged at least one national title contestant 12 times (1993, 1995, 1996, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2007 and 2011).

It's not unusual for the computer to forecast undefeated regular season records for multiple teams or, as is the case this year, multiple 1-loss teams. Given the fact that each team only plays about 10% of the 124-team field, the argument could be made that multiple teams should well out-perform the field each and every season. However, math can not predict which teams will succumb to pressure, make too many mistakes, take the huge underdog opponent lightly, lose key players to injuries, or encounter bad luck.

That's why no one can claim a trophy until the games are played and won.

About the computer.

Click on the School link to see projected game-by-game results.


PROJECTED TEAM RANKINGS (End of Regular Season)
Rank School W-L
1. Virginia Tech 12-0
2. Oklahoma 11-1
3. Michigan 11-1
4. USC 11-1
5. Arkansas 11-1
6. Michigan State 11-1
7. Nebraska 11-1
8. Stanford 11-1
9. Florida State 11-1
10. Florida 11-1
11. Oregon 11-1
12. West Virginia 10-2
13. Utah 11-1
14. Oklahoma State 10-2
15. South Carolina 10-2
16. Auburn 10-2
17. Houston 11-1
18. FIU 11-1
19. Ohio 11-1
20. BYU 10-2
21. Wisconsin 10-2
22. Louisville 10-2
23. Kansas State 9-3
24. Cincinnati 10-2
25. Texas 9-3
26. Western Kentucky 10-2
27. Rutgers 10-2
28. LSU 9-3
29. Tulsa 10-2
30. Southern Miss 10-2
31. Alabama 9-3
32. Louisiana Tech 10-2
33. Georgia 9-3
34. Northern Illinois 10-2
35. Boise State 9-3
36. Western Michigan 10-2
37. Baylor 8-4
38. N. C. State 9-3
39. Clemson 8-4
40. Nevada 9-3
41. Wyoming 9-3
42. Georgia Tech 8-4
43. Marshall 8-4
44. Ohio State 8-4
45. Illinois 8-4
46. Louisiana-Lafayette 8-4
47. Notre Dame 7-5
48. San Diego State 8-4
49. Bowling Green 8-4
50. Texas A&M 7-5
51. Missouri 7-5
52. Temple 7-4
53. Vanderbilt 7-5
54. Utah State 8-4
55. Mississippi State 7-5
56. Purdue 7-5
57. California 7-5
58. USF 7-5
59. TCU 6-6
60. Eastern Michigan 7-5
61. Virginia 7-5
62. Arkansas State 7-5
Rank School W-L
63. Kent State 7-5
64. Washington 6-6
65. UCF 6-6
66. Boston College 6-6
67. San Jose State 7-5
68. Iowa 6-6
69. UCLA 6-6
70. Toledo 6-6
71. Northwestern 6-6
72. Miami (O.) 6-6
73. East Carolina 6-6
74. Central Michigan 6-6
75. Tennessee 5-7
76. Colorado State 6-6
77. SMU 5-7
78. Air Force 6-6
79. Pittsburgh 5-7
80. North Carolina 5-7
81. North Texas 5-7
82. Arizona 5-7
83. UTSA 6-6
84. Louisiana-Monroe 5-7
85. Troy 5-7
86. Fresno State 5-7
87. Texas Tech 4-8
88. New Mexico State 5-7
89. Connecticut 4-8
90. Duke 4-8
91. Army 4-8
92. UTEP 4-8
93. Hawaii 4-8
94. Navy 4-8
95. Tulane 4-8
96. Iowa State 3-9
97. Oregon State 3-9
98. Syracuse 3-9
99. Wake Forest 3-9
100. South Alabama 4-9
101. Washington State 3-9
102. Arizona State 3-9
103. Miami (Fla.) 2-10
104. Penn State 2-10
105. Buffalo 2-10
106. Maryland 2-10
107. Minnesota 2-10
108. Rice 2-10
109. Kansas 2-10
110. Indiana 2-10
111. FAU 2-10
112. UAB 2-10
113. Texas State 2-10
114. Middle Tennessee 2-10
115. UNLV 2-11
116. New Mexico 2-11
117. Ball State 1-11
118. Kentucky 1-11
119. Mississippi 1-11
120. Colorado 1-11
121. Idaho 1-11
122. Memphis 1-11
123. Massachusetts 1-11
124. Akron 1-11

CONFERENCE POWER RANKINGS
Rank Conference Power
1. Big 12 77.85
2. SEC 75.89
3. Big Ten 70.73
4. ACC 70.09
5. Big East 69.44
6. PAC-12 69.03
Rank Conference Power
7. Independents 68.15
8. CUSA 63.04
9. MAC 62.30
10. Sun Belt 61.56
11. Mountain West 60.80
12. WAC 56.58

DIVISION POWER RANKINGS
Rank Conference Power
1. Big 12 77.85
2. SEC West 76.27
3. SEC East 75.51
4. Big Ten Legends 74.11
5. PAC-12 North 71.06
6. ACC Atlantic 70.41
7. ACC Coastal 69.77
8. Big East 69.44
9. Independents 68.15
Rank Conference Power
10. Big Ten Leaders 67.34
11. PAC-12 South 67.00
12. MAC West 66.08
13. CUSA West 63.88
14. CUSA East 62.20
15. Sun Belt 61.56
16. Mountain West 60.80
17. MAC East 59.05
18. WAC 56.58