Week 14 Preview: Six Conference Championship Matchups To Be Determined This Weekend.

November 25, 2019 by Dave Congrove

It comes down to the final weekend for conference championship pairings to be set in the American, ACC, Big Ten, CUSA, MAC and PAC-12.

American

Cincinnati vs. Memphis or Navy

Cincinnati clinched its first division title since the conference began staging a playoff in 2015. The question is whether or not the Bearcats will get to host the title game, and that depends on a pair of games involving two teams in the west division - Memphis and Navy.

Memphis actually hosts Cincinnati on Friday as 2.73-point computer pick, which is well under the 11-point Vegas spread. Meanwhile, Navy visits Houston on Saturday as a 4.49-point computer underdog, but a 7.5-point Vegas favorite.

If Memphis beats Cincinnati, Memphis hosts Cincinnati for the championship game and Navy is out. If Cincinnati beats Memphis, Cincinnati would host either Memphis, or Navy if the Midshipmen beat Houston.

ACC

Clemson vs. the winner of Virginia Tech at Virginia. The Tigers have clinched their 5th straight division title. Virginia Tech is trying to get back to the championship game for the first time since losing by a TD to Clemson in Justin Fuente's first season at Blacksburg in 2016. Virginia has never played in the conference title game, and hasn't won or shared the conference title since 1995. Furthermore, the Cavs have lost 15 straight to the Hokies. Virginia Tech is a 2.5-point Vegas favorite, but a 2.12-point computer underdog.

Big Ten

Ohio State vs. winner of Wisconsin at Minnesota.

This is the 9th year of the Big Ten championship game. The Buckeyes are making their third straight trip to Indianapolis and 5th overall. The Badgers are seeking their 6th title game appearance, while the Golden Gophers are looking for their first division crown. Vegas likes Wisconsin by 2.5 points, but the computer reduces that to a scant 0.65 points.

Big 12

Oklahoma vs Baylor.

Conference USA

FAU or Marshall vs. UAB or Louisiana Tech or Southern Miss

Marshall (7-4, 5-2) would have won the east division with a win at Charlotte last week, but was upset 24-13 to drop a game behind FAU (8-3, 6-1). The Owls were 40-26 winners at UTSA. The Herd own the tie-breaker with their 36-31 win at FAU on October 18. Marshall hosts FIU this week while FAU hosts Southern Miss.

Louisiana Tech (8-3, 5-2) and Southern Miss (7-4, 5-2) both lost last Saturday, but are still tied for the lead. The Bulldogs own the tie-breaker with their 45-30 win over the Eagles on October 19. UAB (8-3, 5-2) moved back in to the picture with a the 20-14 upset of the Bulldogs in Birmingham, and Southern Miss bowed 28-10 at home to Western Kentucky (7-4, 5-2).

Now, FAU wins the east with a win vs. Southern Miss or a Marshall loss vs. FIU. Marshall wins the east with a victory over FIU and a FAU loss to Southern Miss.

The west division goes to UAB with a win vs. North Texas and a Southern Miss loss to FAU. Louisiana Tech advances with a win vs. UTSA and a UAB loss to North Texas. Southern Miss moves on with a win vs. FAU and a Louisiana Tech loss to UTSA.

MAC

Miami vs. Central Michigan or Western Michigan.

Miami clinched the east for its first division title since 2010. Central Michigan and Western Michigan are tied for the west lead at 7-4 overall and 5-2 in the conference. The Broncos own the tie-breaker by virtue of having won the heads-up battle 31-15 on September 28. Western Michigan was the preseason pick to win the division, while Central Michigan was projected to go 1-11 overall and 0-8 in the MAC. The Chippewas were a unanimous pick by all of the major preseason magazines to finish last, or tied for last.

Western can clinch with a win at Northern Illinois on Tuesday. Central will win the division if Western Michigan loses to the Huskies and the Chips win at home over Toledo on Friday (11/29).

Mountain West

Hawaii at Boise State.

The Broncos clinched their third straight division title. Hawaii is making its first championship game appearance since the league began staging one in 2013.

PAC-12

Oregon vs. Utah or USC.

Oregon clinched the north division for the first time since 2014, but the Ducks saw their Final Four hopes disappear in a 31-28 upset loss at Arizona State. In the west, Utah (10-1, 7-1) leads USC (8-4, 7-2) and can clinch the division at home next week with a win over Colorado. Idle USC gets with a Utah loss as the Trojans defeated the Utes earlier in the year.

SEC

Georgia vs. LSU.

Georgia has clinched its third consecutive division title. LSU has its first division title since 2011.

Sun Belt

Louisiana at Appalachian State.

The Sun Belt only began staging a championship game last year and Appalachian State downed Louisiana 30-19 in Boone. Same teams, same location for year two.

FBS vs. FCS

114 games this year pit FBS teams against FCS schools. That's two more than a season ago when FBS teams won 105 of 112 games.

FBS teams were 111-3 (.974) for the season. Since we began tracking this in 2003, the FBS schools are 1,435-127 (.919).

FCS victories over FBS teams in 2019:
August 29: Central Arkansas 35, Western Kentucky 28
September 7: Southern Illinois 45, Massachusetts 20
September 14: The Citadel 27, Georgia Tech 24 (OT)

FCS victories over FBS teams in 2018
August 29: UC Davis 44, San Jose State 31
September 1: Villanova 19, Temple 17
September 1: Northern Arizona 30, UTEP 10
September 1: Nicholls State 26, Kansas 23 (OT)
September 2: North Carolina A&T 28, East Carolina 23
September 8: Maine 31, Western Kentucky 28
September 22: Illinois State 35, Colorado State 19

Streaks

CLEMSON - Won 26 straight over-all (FBS longest). Won 28 straight regular season games (FBS longest) games. Won 21 straight conference games (FBS longest). Won 22 straight home games (FBS longest). Won 11 straight true road games (FBS longest).
Last: Won 52-3 at home over Wake Forest on November 16.
Next: Visits South Carolina on November 30.

RUTGERS - Lost 19 straight conference games (FBS longest).
Last: Rutgers its fourth shutout loss of the season, 27-0, at home versus Michigan State on November 23.
Next: Visits Penn State on November 30.

AKRON - Lost 16 straight overall (FBS longest). Lost 7 straight home games (FBS longest).
Last: Lost 20-17 at Miami (O.) on November 20.
Next: Hosts Ohio on November 26.

NEW MEXICO STATE - Snapped a 15-game losing streak vs. FBS teams with a 44-35 win over UTEP.
Last: Won 44-35 at home over UTEP on November 23.
Next: Visits Liberty on November 30.

SOUTH ALABAMA - Lost 15 straight road games (FBS longest).
Last: Lost 28-15 at Georgia State on November 23.
Next: Hosts Arkansas State on November 30.