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College Football Season

Oregon, Baylor, 'Bama, FSU, Ohio State All Roll

South Carolina Stuns Missouri with 4th quarter rally; Texas Tech, Virginia Tech among top losers

by Dave Congrove
October 27, 2013

The top five teams in the Congrove Computer Rankings all flexed their muscle over the weekend with victories by 28 points or more. Top-ranked Oregon had the toughest battle as the Ducks broke from a 14-14 halftime tie to take a 42-14 win.

No. 2 Baylor and No. 3 Alabama tallied 21 first quarter points in their respective romps. The Bears were 59-14 victors at Kansas, and the Tide rolled 45-10 at home over Tennessee.

4th-ranked Florida State posted a ridiculous 35 points in the first stanza of its 49-17 demolition of N.C. State. My personal Heisman favorite, QB Jameis Winston, threw 3 TD passes in the the first quarter.

5th-ranked Ohio State only had 14 points in the opening quarter, but tacked on 28 more in the 2nd period of its 63-14 embarrassment of Penn State. The 49-point loss was PSU's worst since 1899.

Meanwhile, Miami escaped the upset bid by Wake Forest. The Hurricanes needed a TD run in the final minute to subdue the Demon Deacons 24-21. Miami dropped a notch from 6th to 7th with the narrow win.

Fresno State also managed an escape at San Diego State in what was a battle for first place in the Mountain West's West division. The Bulldogs were given new life when they partially blocked a 37-yard field goal attempt by the Aztecs on the final play of regulation, and then went on to win 35-28 in the first overtime. The victory helped the Bulldogs surge from 14th to 11th.

Unexpected losers include Missouri which was undefeated and ranked 8th before blowing a 17-0 lead over South Carolina in the 4th quarter and going on to lose 27-24 in double-overtime on a missed field goal. The Tigers dropped to 13th with the loss.

Not-so-surprising was Texas Tech's 38-30 setback at Oklahoma. The Red Raiders slipped from 9th to 14th while the Sooners rose from 10th to 8th.

Also not surprising was UCLA's loss at Oregon, but the Bruins took a dramatic dive from 15th to 31st as a result.

Oregon State's 20-12 home loss to Stanford wasn't a shocker either. The underdog Beavers fell from 16th to 30th while the Cardinal rose from 7th to 6th.

Easily the day's most shocking upsets were Virginia Tech's 13-10 home loss to Duke and Nebraska's 34-23 loss at Minnesota. Both of the unexpected victors became bowl eligible with their wins. Unless Duke somehow winds up uninvited, 2012 and 2013 would mark the school's first-ever consecutive bowl trips.

Four games ago, Northwestern was undefeated and hosting Ohio State with ESPN's College GameDay on campus. On Saturday, the Wildcats lost their 4th straight game with a 17-10 defeat in overtime at Iowa.

The week's 55-game schedule kicked off Tuesday with Louisiana-Lafayette winning 23-7 at Arkansas State. It continued Thursday with Mississippi State's 28-22 home win over Kentucky and MTSU's 51-49 home win over Marshall on the final play of the game. On Friday night, BYU earned a 37-20 home win over Boise State.

The computer was 41-12 in picking the winner of heads-up FBS games, and 35-18 against the spread. So far this season, it has forecasted the winner of 80.5% of all games played this year while hitting 58.5% against the spread.

Meanwhile, Feature Picks writer Mike Mitchell is 120-15 with his selections and 79-56 against the spread. In addition, the computer is 36-32 on forecasted upsets and 46-22 against the spread with those games.

The weekend began with 10 undefeated teams and ended with 8. Missouri and Texas Tech were the only victims. The list still contains Alabama, Baylor, Florida State, Fresno State, Miami (Fla.), Northern Illinois, Ohio State and Oregon.

The winless list shrank from 7 teams to 5 as Western Michigan topped UMass 31-30 and New Mexico State defeated Abilene Christian 34-29. The 5 teams still searching for their first victory are Connecticut, Georgia State, Hawaii, Miami (Ohio) and Southern Miss.

FBS vs. FCS:
LSU beat Furman 48-16 and New Mexico State downed Abilene Christian 34-29 in the only FBS vs. FCS matchups this week. Abilene Christian is actually a division II team in the process of transitioning to the FCS.

FBS teams have lost 14 games to FCS members this season after dropping just 10 in all of 2012.

The FBS is now 86-14 (.860) this season vs. the FCS, and 822-79 (.912) in such matchups since 2003. After this week's contests, 11 FBS-FCS games still remain to be played.

Originally, 106 FBS schools scheduled a total of 110 games against FCS foes this year. But Colorado later replaced a game it lost vs. Fresno State (due to flooding) with Charleston Southern. Thus, 106 FBS schools will play a total of 111 games vs. FCS foes. The schedule change also made Colorado the 4th FBS team to face at least two such schools this year. The others are Clemson and Georgia Tech with 2 apiece while FBS newcomer Georgia State scheduled 3 FCS teams and lost to each of them.

Here are the results of the FBS losses to FCS schools this season:
8/29: Towson 33, Connecticut 18
8/29: Southern Utah 22, South Alabama 21
8/30: Samford 31, Georgia State 21
8/30: North Dakota State 24, Kansas State 21
8/31: Northern Iowa 28, Iowa State 20
8/31: Eastern Washington 49, Oregon State 46
8/31: Eastern Illinois 40, San Diego State 18
8/31: McNeese State 53, USF 21
9/7: UT-Chattanooga 42, Georgia State 14
9/7: Maine 24, Massachusetts 14
9/7: Nicholls State 27, Western Michigan 23.
9/14: Fordham 30, Temple 29
9/14: Bethune-Cookman 34, FIU 13
9/21: Jacksonville State 32, Georgia State 26 (OT)

Eastern Washington, McNeese State and North Dakota State also had wins vs. FBS teams last year.

Ohio State - Won 20 straight overall. Won 63-14 vs. Penn State on Saturday.

Northern Illinois - Won 24 straight at home and 21 straight vs. conference foes. Won 59-20 vs. Eastern Michigan on Saturday.

LSU - Won 45 straight regular season nonconference games. Won 48-16 vs. FCS member Furman on Saturday.

Michigan - Won 19 straight home games. Idle this week.

Oregon - Won 18 straight road games. Won 42-14 vs. UCLA on Saturday.

Southern Miss - Lost 19 straight overall. Lost 55-14 vs. North Texas on Saturday.

New Mexico State - Ended an 18-game losing streak. Won 34-29 vs. Division II/FCS transitioning member Abilene Christian on Saturday. The Aggies have lost 20 straight to FBS teams.

Kansas - Lost 25 straight conference games and 21 straight road games. Lost 59-14 vs. Baylor on Saturday.


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