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2013-2014
College Football Bowl Games
Confidence Points


2013 Bowl Games - Confidence Points

by Staff
December 12, 2013 (Results through games of 1/6/14)

A popular pick 'em game for college football fans is to not only pick bowl winners, but to also assign confidence points to their picks. The goal is to accumulate more points than your friends.

The format is simple - pick a winner of all 35 games and, depending on how confident you are of each pick becoming reality, rank them in order of 1-35. You assign 35 to the pick that gives you the most confidence, and assign 1 to the pick that gives you the least confidence. No number can be assigned more than once. The maximum number of points anyone can accumulate with a perfect record is 630.

Here is how the computer would rank its' picks, based on the computer's projected margin of victory for each bowl winner:

Assigned Bowl Game Computer's Pick Pts. Won Pts. Lost
35 Pinstripe Notre Dame 17.80 over Rutgers 35  
34 BCS Championship Florida State 16.67 over Auburn 34  
33 Fiesta Baylor 15.10 over UCF   33
32 Little Caesars Pizza Bowling Green 13 over Pittsburgh   32
31 Military Marshall 12.58 over Maryland 31  
30 AdvoCare V100 Arizona 12.27 over Boston College 30  
29 Holiday Arizona State 10.88 over Texas Tech   29
28 Gator Georgia 10.47 over Nebraska   28
27 Outback LSU 10.45 over Iowa 27  
26 Beef 'O' Brady's East Carolina 10.32 over Ohio 26  
25 Chick-fil-A Texas A&M 8.48 over Duke 25  
24 GoDaddy.com Ball State 8.31 over Arkansas State   24
23 Heart of Dallas North Texas 8.13 over UNLV 23  
22 Rose Stanford 7.77 over Michigan State   22
21 Cotton Oklahoma State 7.29 over Missouri   21
20 Alamo Oregon 7.01 over Texas 20  
19 Sun UCLA 6.38 over Virginia Tech 19  
18 Texas Minnesota 5.74 over Syracuse   18
17 Russell Athletic Louisville 5.29 over Miami (Fla.) 17  
16 Orange Ohio State 4.80 over Clemson   16
15 Music City Georgia Tech 4.63 over Mississippi   15
14 Armed Forces Navy 4.45 over Middle Tennessee 14  
13 Poinsettia Utah State 4.04 over Northern Illinois 13  
12 New Orleans Louisiana-Lafayette 3.66 over Tulane 12  
11 Liberty Mississippi State 3.15 over Rice 11  
10 Sugar Alabama 2.93 over Oklahoma   10
9 New Mexico Colorado State 2.86 over Washington State 9  
8 Fight Hunger Washington 2.60 over BYU 8  
7 Famous Idaho Potato Buffalo 2.54 over San Diego State   7
6 Hawaii Boise State 1.60 over Oregon State   6
5 BBVA Compass Houston 0.95 over Vanderbilt   5
4 Belk North Carolina 0.63 over Cincinnati 4  
3 Buffalo Wild Wings Kansas State 0.42 over Michigan 3  
2 Capital One South Caroilina 0.41 over Wisconsin 2  
1 Las Vegas USC 0.24 over Fresno State 1  
Totals 364 266
Maximum Points Possible (perfect score =630): 364  

Confidence Points Picks and Results: 2008 - 2009 - 2010 - 2011 - 2012 - 2013