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12/13/14-12/13/14


FEATURE PICKS ARCHIVES
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Each week, Mike Mitchell examines the computer's picks and selects those which he believes have the best chance of being correct. Lines in parenthesis are the opening lines as reported at docsports.com. Later lines are used in the event of a "pick 'em" opening. The Congrove Computer Rankings' pick is shown outside the parenthesis. The HOME TEAM is in CAPS. An explanation of how the computer's SU and ATS wins and losses are scored can be found at Weekly Picks Help.


DocSports.com http://www.playbyplayinc.com/win.php      

EASY PICKINS:
The computer likes the favorite with room to spare.
2013 Regular Season: 111-18 SU (.860), 78-51 ATS (.605)
2014 Regular Season: 85-34 SU (.714), 51-68 ATS (.429)
Last 3 Weeks: 14-3 SU (.824), 8-9 ATS (.471)
Last Week: 1-0 SU (1.000), 0-1 ATS (.000)
This Week: 1-0 SU (1.000), 0-1 ATS (.000)
PAST RECORDS

Saturday, December 13
Navy (-14.5) by 19.01 over Army (at Baltimore) - Navy (6-5) is headed to the Poinsettia Bowl to face San Diego State while Army (4-7) will see this as its bowl game. The Midshipmen have opened up a 58-49-7 lead in the series by winning the last 12 meetings by an average score of 29-9 (28.6-8.8, to be exact). Only 4 games during that span were under this week's 14.5-point spread. Navy is 2nd in the nation in rushing offense with 357.82 ypg, and has passed for only 964 yards all season on 115 total attempts.

Army also has a prolific rushing attack that ranks 6th nationally with 305.45 ypg, and has passed for 710 yards on only 98 attempts.

Army ranks 94th in run defense. Navy ranks 98th against the run.

Those stats seem to beg for a closer game that what's called for, but Army is just 1-1 vs. FCS members Fordham and Yale. Yes, those are solid FCS members, but they are FCS members all the same. Army is getting there under new head coach Jeff Monken, but the difference will be Navy's coaching and experience with winning.
Navy won 17-10. The computer won SU, lost ATS.


HOLD YOUR HORSES:
The computer likes the favorite, but by fewer points than the oddsmakers.
2013 Regular Season: 70-12 SU (.854), 41-41 ATS (.500)
2014 Regular Season: 66-10 SU (.868), 31-45 ATS (.408)
Last 3 Weeks: 8-3 SU (.727), 4-7 ATS (.364)
Last Week: 2-0 SU (1.000), 0-2 ATS (.000)
This Week: 0-0 SU (.000), 0-0 ATS (.000)
PAST RECORDS

 

No games in this category this week

 


UPSETS:
The computer likes the underdog as the outright winner. I don't select the games in this category. Instead, we list every upset projected by the computer.
2013 Regular Season: 47-48 SU (.495), 59-36 ATS (.694)
2014 Regular Season: 51-48 SU (.515), 59-40 ATS (.596)
Last 3 Weeks: 11-3 SU (.786), 12-2 ATS (.857)
Last Week: 1-0 SU (1.000), 1-0 ATS (1.000)
This Week: 0-0 SU (.000), 0-0 ATS (.000)
PAST RECORDS

 

No games in this category this week

 



ODDS/PICKS
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