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Each week, Mike Mitchell examines the computer's picks and selects those which he believes have the best chance of being correct. Lines in parenthesis are the opening lines as reported at docsports.com. Later lines are used in the event of a "pick 'em" opening. The Congrove Computer Rankings' pick is shown outside the parenthesis. The HOME TEAM is in CAPS. An explanation of how the computer's SU and ATS wins and losses are scored can be found at Weekly Picks Help.


EASY PICKINS:
The computer likes the favorite with room to spare.
2013 Regular Season: 111-18 SU (.860), 78-51 ATS (.605)
2014 Regular Season: 84-34 SU (.712), 51-67 ATS (.432)
Last 3 Weeks: 20-6 SU (.769), 11-15 ATS (.423)
Last Week: 12-3 SU (.800), 8-7 ATS (.533)
This Week: 1-0 SU (1.000), 0-1 ATS (.000)
PAST RECORDS

Saturday, December 6
Florida State (-3) by 6.12 over Georgia Tech (at Charlotte) - This is FSU's 3rd straight appearance in the ACC Championship game and a rematch of the 2012 affair won 21-15 by the 'Noles. Georgia Tech is making its third-ever appearance and is 1-2 in these games. However, the Jackets had to vacate that lone 2009 ACC title win over Clemson for playing Demaryius Thomas when his eligibility was already known to be under investigation by the NCAA. Of course, Florida State will enter this game on a 28-game winning streak that includes 21 straight ACC victories. The status of FSU RB Karlos Williams (concussion) was unknown as of late Monday. Georgia Tech leading receiver DeAndre Smelter is out with a torn ACL. FSU is 13-2 vs. Georgia Tech since 1992, prior to which the Jackets dominated the series 7-0-1. The computer's trend line only gives FSU a 3.2-point advantage. I see FSU winning this game in the 34-17 range.
Florida State won 37-35. The computer won SU, lost ATS as the 'Noles gave up a late TD.


HOLD YOUR HORSES:
The computer likes the favorite, but by fewer points than the oddsmakers.
2013 Regular Season: 70-12 SU (.854), 41-41 ATS (.500)
2014 Regular Season: 66-10 SU (.868), 31-45 ATS (.408)
Last 3 Weeks: 14-3 SU (.824), 7-10 ATS (.412)
Last Week: 2-2 SU (.500), 3-1 ATS (.750)
This Week: 2-0 SU (1.000), 0-2 ATS (.000)
PAST RECORDS

Friday, December 5
Oregon (-13.5) by 9.42 over Arizona (at Santa Clara) - 1993 was the last and only time that the Wildcats had a piece of the PAC-12 title when they shared it with USC and UCLA. Oregon hasn't played in the PAC-12 title game since its inaugural year in 2011. Arizona won the regular season meeting 31-24 at Oregon in a Thursday night game as an even wider underdog (13.22). The computer's trend line says Oregon wins by 6.
Oregon won 51-13. The computer won SU, lost ATS.

Saturday, December 6
Alabama (-14) by 7.33 over Missouri (at Atlanta) - This is Missouri's 2nd straight appearance in the SEC Championship game, and Alabama's 2nd in the last 3 years. The computer's trend line gives 'Bama the edge by 9.
Alabama won 42-13. The computer won SU, lost ATS.


UPSETS:
The computer likes the underdog as the outright winner. I don't select the games in this category. Instead, we list every upset projected by the computer.
2013 Regular Season: 47-48 SU (.495), 59-36 ATS (.694)
2014 Regular Season: 51-48 SU (.515), 59-40 ATS (.596)
Last 3 Weeks: 11-3 SU (.786), 12-2 ATS (.857)
Last Week: 7-2 SU (.778), 8-1 ATS (.889)
This Week: 1-0 SU (1.000), 1-0 ATS (1.000)
PAST RECORDS

Saturday, December 6
Ohio State by 7.10 over Wisconsin (-4.5) (at Indianapolis) - Ohio State players and coaches learned Sunday that teammate Kosta Karageorge, the missing walk-on defensive tackle, was found dead of an apparent self-inflicted gunshot wound. Additionally, quarterback J.T. Barrett fracture his ankle in the 4th quarter of last week's win over Michigan and won't be available for this game or the playoffs/bowl season. Redshirt sophomore Cardale Jones will get the start. Wisconsin features RB Melvin Gordon who leads the nation in rushing yards with 2,260, rushing TD's with 26, total touchdowns with 29 and total points with 174. Without a known entity at QB for Ohio State, I can not endorse this computer pick.
Ohio State won 59-0. The computer won SU, won ATS.



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