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12/2/10-12/4/10

FEATURE PICKS ARCHIVES
Week 1: 9/2-9/6
Week 2: 9/9-9/11
Week 3: 9/16-9/18
Week 4: 9/23-9/25		 Week 5: 9/30-10/2
Week 6: 10/5-10/9
Week 7: 10/13-10/16
Week 8: 10/21-10/23		 Week 9: 10/26-10/30
Week 10: 11/2-11/6
Week 11: 11/9-11/13
Week 12: 11/16-11/20		 Week 13: 11/23-11/27
Week 14: 12/2-12/4
Week 15: 12/11-12/11
Week 16: Bowls
Past Season Archives: 2007 | 2008 | 2009 |

EASY PICKINS:
The computer likes the favorite with room to spare.
2010 Regular Season: 74-31 SU (.705), 51-54 ATS (.486)
This Week: 3-2 SU (.600), 2-3 ATS (.400)
PAST RECORDS

Thursday, December 2
ARIZONA (-5.5) by 8.42 over Arizona State - Arizona has dropped three in-a-row, but Arizona State hasn't defeated a bowl subdivision team with a winning record all year. ASU will start sophomore QB Brock Osweiler who threw for 380 yards, 4 TD's and 0 INT's when he replaced Steven Threet after he suffered a concussion in last week's 55-34 home win over UCLA. The computer is 7-3 ATS with the Wildcats but just 2-7 with the Sun Devils who are not, and can not become, bowl eligible.
Arizona State won 30-29 in 2 OT's. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.

Friday, December 3
Northern Illinois (-14.5) by 17.42 over Miami - The RedHawks are a much better team than the computer assessed them to be in the preseason when they were projected to go 3-9 but the Huskies hold No. 1 MAC rankings in total offense, rushing offense and scoring offense. Three of the last four MAC title games have been decided by 18 or more points.
Miami won 26-21. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.

Saturday, December 4
Virginia Tech (-4) by 6.43 over Florida State - Virginia Tech has already secured a seventh consecutive 10-win season. The Hokies started 0-2, but enter the ACC Championship game in Charlotte on a 10-game winning streak. The computer is 11-1 SU, 8-3 ATS with Virginia Tech. It is 7-5 SU, 6-5 ATS with the Seminoles.
Virginia Tech won 44-33. The computer won SU, won ATS.

Oklahoma (-5) by 5.16 over Nebraska - The computer is a combined 19-5 SU, 15-8 ATS with these teams in 2010. This Big 12 Championship game at Cowboys Stadium in Arlington should be a classic, but the Sooners win it for the remaining members of the Big 12. Nebraska will be playing football in the Big Ten next year.
Oklahoma won 23-20. The computer won SU, lost ATS.

Nevada (-14) by 15.23 over LOUISIANA TECH - The Wolf Pack's No. 1 offense (WAC) goes against the Bulldogs' No. 8 defense. And La. Tech's No. 4 offense faces Nevada's No. 4 defense.
Nevada won 35-17. The computer won SU, won ATS.


HOLD YOUR HORSES:
The computer likes the favorite, but by fewer points than the oddsmakers.
2010 Regular Season: 67-9 SU (.882), 33-43 ATS (.434)
This Week: 1-0 SU (1.000), 0-1 ATS (.000)
PAST RECORDS

Saturday, December 4
Auburn (-7) by 0.91 over South Carolina - Three 4th quarter turnovers turned a South Carolina lead into an 8-point loss at Auburn earlier this year. Steve Spurrier was 5-2 in SEC championship games at Florida. This is where his experience benefits the Gamecocks.
Auburn won 56-17. The computer won SU, lost ATS.

UPSETS:
The computer likes the underdog as the outright winner. I don't select the games in this category. Instead, we list every upset projected by the computer.
2010 Regular Season: 25-47 SU (.347), 31-41 ATS (.431)
This Week: 1-0 SU (1.000)), 1-0 ATS (1.000)
PAST RECORDS

Friday, December 3
FRESNO STATE by 0.36 over Illinois (-4) - The Fighting Illini were a 3-point favorite in last year's game in Champaign. The computer projected Fresno State by 0.21. The Bulldogs won the game 53-52 in overtime to make the computer a winner SU and ATS. The numbers on this game are almost identical and Fresno State has home field advantage.
Fresno State won 25-23. The computer won SU, won ATS.