Tuesday, October 22
Louisiana-Lafayette (-4.5) by 7.85 over ARKANSAS STATE - The computer's margin for UL-L has increased 3.81 points since the preseason as the Ragin' Cajuns (4-2, 2-0) have reeled off 4 straight wins and taken the early lead in the Sun Belt race. However, Arkansas State represents the toughest team they've faced since falling at Kansas State on September 7 as the Red Wolves (3-3, 1-0) are the only other team in the Sun Belt without a conference loss. These teams have split the last 12 meetings with Arkansas State taking the last two after UL-L won the previous 3.
Louisiana-Lafayette won 23-7. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Thursday, October 24
MISSISSIPPI STATE (-9.5) by 16.82 over Kentucky - Kentucky ranks last in the SEC in just about every major statistical category. MSU ranks 4th in total defense and 7th in total offense.
Mississippi State won 28-22. The computer won SU, lost ATS.
Friday, October 25
BYU (-6.5) by 8.06 over Boise State - The computer's margin for this game has only moved fractionally since the preseason. The Cougars already have home wins this year over Texas by 19 and Georgia Tech by 18. BSU is 1-2 on the road.
BYU won 37-20. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Saturday, October 26
Ball State (-11.5) by 14.25 over AKRON - Ball State's only loss was at North Texas as the Cardinals bring a 7-1 record and a 5-game winning streak to Akron. The Zips are coming off a win over Miami (Ohio) that ended losing streaks of 30 straight road games, 28 straight FBS games and 19 straight conference games (MAC).
Ball State won 42-24. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Arizona (-17) by 20.40 over COLORADO - Arizona ranks 13th nationally in rushing offense with Ka'Deem Carey leading the FBS at 160 yards per game after last week's 236-yard performance against Utah. He's ran for at least 128 yards in all five games he's played since sitting out the opener. Colorado ranks 79th in rushing defense.
Arizona won 44-20. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Baylor (-35.5) by 37.24 over KANSAS - I generally shy way from taking games with lines this high, but Baylor has posted 70 points or more in 4 games and won 3 of those by 57 or more. The computer trend line actually puts this game up around 46 in favor of the Bears.
Baylor won 59-14. The computer won SU, won ATS.
BOWLING GREEN (-2.5) by 7.51 over Toledo - BGSU getting 2-1/2 at home seems a bit absurd. After all, the Falcons are 5-2, 3-0 while the Rockets are 4-3, 2-1 and Bowling Green has the MAC's No. 3 defense and No. 1 offense.
Toledo won 28-25. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
Clemson (-13) by 18.42 over MARYLAND - The Terps have been a different team at home than on the road, but they simply aren't good enough to stay within 2 scores of the Tigers. In its last 3 games, Maryland has gone 1-2 vs. the ACC and did manage to post 27 points in a 1-point win over a terrible Virginia team, but the Terps were held to 0 and 10 against FSU and that juggernaut known as Wake Forest.
Clemson won 40-27. The computer won SU, lost ATS.
Georgia Tech (-8.5) by 17.29 over VIRGINIA - The nation's 4th-ranked offense goes against Virginia's 53rd-ranked rushing defense. The computer margin for this game has jumped 5.40 points since the preseason.
Georgia Tech won 35-25. The computer won SU, won ATS.
KANSAS STATE (-7.5) by 12.49 over West Virginia - As much as Kansas State has been a disappointment this season, the computer's margin on this game has only budged 0.23 points since the preseason. Throw out a bunch of garbage time points at Baylor and WVU has a difficult time scoring at all on the road.
Kansas State won 35-12. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Louisville (-21) by 25.39 over USF - The computer said the Cardinals wouldn't cover last week versus UCF. This week, the computer trend line says UL should win in an easy blowout.
Louisville won 34-3. The computer won SU, won ATS.
North Texas (-10) by 22.51 over SOUTHERN MISS - UNT was favored by 15.52 in the preseason and that line has jumped by 6.99 points. USM is in the throes of an 18-game losing streak.
North Texas won 55-14. The computer won SU, won ATS.
SAN JOSE STATE (-3.5) by 13.77 over Wyoming - The Cowboys were steamrolled at home last by Colorado State while SJSU has had two weeks to prepare.
San Jose State won 51-44. The computer won SU, won ATS.
UTSA (-3.5) by 8 over Uab - The computer has liked the Roadrunners by around 8 points since the preseason and UTSA outranks the Blazers statistically on both sides of the ball.
UTSA won 52-31. The computer won SU, won ATS.