Thursday, August 29
BOWLING GREEN by 3.31 over Tulsa (-3) - This is one of just two losses the computer gives Tulsa for the 2013 season. The other is at Oklahoma.
Bowling Green won 34-7. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Utah State by 9.12 over UTAH (-4.5) - Only thing that worries me with this game is that Gary Andersen left to take the head coaching job at Wisconsin so this is Matt Wells' (promoted from OC) first game anywhere as a head coach.
Utah won 30-26. The computer lost SU, won ATS.
Saturday, August 31
Louisiana-Lafayette by 8.51 over ARKANSAS (-14) - Brett Bielema's first season at Arkansas as he tries to help the team find its way after a 2012 debacle. I personally have a hard time buying this one, but UL-L is loaded (for a Sun Belt team).
Arkansas won 34-14. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
Byu by 11.07 over VIRGINIA (-6) - Surprised the line opened with Virginia as the favorite. It has since flopped to BYU by a point in most places.
Virginia won 19-16. The computer lost SU, won ATS.
Georgia by 1.04 over CLEMSON (-2) - The computer has Georgia playing Stanford in the BCS Championship game so it better be right on this one.
Clemson won 38-35. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
Northern Illinois by 3.20 over IOWA (-6.5) - Iowa eked out a 1-point win in Chicago a year ago. Offensive line coach Rod Carey was named as Dave Doeren's successor (moved to N.C. State) on December 2 and coached the Huskies (12-2) in their historic 31-10 Orange Bowl loss to Florida State.
Norther Illinois won 30-27. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Western Kentucky by 5.84 over Kentucky (-3) (at Nashville) - Bobby Petrino is the new head coach for the Hilltoppers. Kentucky is giving Mark Stoops his first shot as a head coach.
Western Kentucky won 35-26. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Utsa by 6.27 over NEW MEXICO (-6) - Larry Coker's team was 8-4 a year ago, though half of the wins were against lower-classified schools. However, the Roadrunners did win a rout at New Mexico State by 8 points more than the Lobos managed.
UTSA won 21-13. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Texas State by 7.36 over SOUTHERN MISS (-9.5) - Dennis Franchione's Bobcats were 4-8 a year ago and lost 4 games by 9 points or less. Southern Miss was winless a year ago and brings in new head coach and former Oklahoma State offensive coordinator Todd Monken who has no prior head coaching experience.
Texas State won 22-15. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Uab by 3.68 over TROY (-6) - Larry Blakeney is the 2nd-longest active tenured coach in the FBS, only behind Frank Beamer. But his Trojans have stumbled lately with just 8 wins over the last two seasons. The Blazers are projected by the computer to grab 5 wins this year in Garrick McGee's second season.
Troy won 34-31. The computer lost SU, won ATS.
Sunday, September 1
Colorado State by 11.33 over Colorado (-1.5) (at Denver) - The Vegas line opened favoring the Buffs but has since moved to a 2-1/2 to 3-point range in favor of the Rams. Colorado leads the all-time series by a mile, but the teams have split the last four battles with CSU taking last year's contest 22-17.