About the Data

Lines in parenthesis are the opening lines as reported at DocSports.com. Later lines are used in the event of a "pick 'em" opening. The Congrove Computer Rankings' pick is shown outside the parenthesis. The home team is capitalized.

Easy Pickins

The computer likes the favorite with room to spare so 'give the points'. It's our opinion these are the computer picks in this category that have the best chance of being correct.

This Week 5-0 (1.000) 3-2 (.600)
Last Week 2-3 (.400) 1-4 (.200)
This Season 10-7 (.588) 7-10 (.412)
Last Season 38-17 (.691) 28-27 (.509)

UTAH STATE (-10.5) by 15.44 over Air Force - Saturday, September 22.
Utah State will be looking to stop a 3-game losing skid to the Academy. The Aggies are averaging 54 points per game, including putting up 31 at Michigan State in the season opener. Air Force shouldn't be able to keep up. The computer favors Utah State by 15.44 and the computer's trend line has the Falcons by 20.

SUATSUtah State won 42-32

OKLAHOMA (-31.5) by 39.38 over Army West Point - Saturday, September 22.
Oklahoma leads the 'series' 2-1, but these teams haven't met since 1961 when Bud Wilkinson was head coach in Norman. The one-dimensional Army attack doesn't stand a chance against the Sooners. Army will have no choice but to ground-and-pound and try to limit OU possessions so this may stay under the 63 total, Look for a score in the 52-14 or 49-10 range.

SUATSOklahoma won 28-21 in OT

Miami, O. (-4.5) by 11.61 over BOWLING GREEN - Saturday, September 22.
The banged-up Falcons are surrendering over 500 yards per game, including 498 to FCS member Eastern Kentucky this past Saturday. The RedHawks have struggled on offense, but BGSU should be the right medicine to cure that ailment. Bowling Green has won 4 of the last 5 meetings and leads the series 43-24-5.

SUATSMiami won 38-23

SYRACUSE (-27.5) by 37.07 over Connecticut - Saturday, September 22.
Don't expect Syracuse to have a letdown after the 30-7 win over Florida State - it's' first over the Seminoles since 1966 and just its' second all-time.QB Eric Dungey was listed as probable late Tuesday night after leaving the FSU game with an eye injury, likely getting poked with a finger in a pile-up. Tommy DeVito, a redshirt freshman, shined in relief of the senior Dungey. UConn is ranked 128th out of 130 teams in the Congrove Computer Rankings, and the Huskies' defense ranks last in the nation. UConn already has losses by 39 to UCF and 55 to Boise State. So far, Randy Edsall's second stop at UConn has produced just 4 wins in 15 games, and 2 of those are a pair of 7-point wins over FCS foes.

SUATSSyracuse won 51-21

OHIO STATE (-35) by 39.60 over Tulane - Saturday, September 22.
Can you say '70'? That's the number Ohio State could post against Tulane as Urban Meyer returns to the sideline. This is the first-ever meeting between these schools. Tulane (1-2 over all, 0-2 vs FBS) ranks 72nd on offense and 110th on defense after playing Wake Forest, Nicholls State and UAB. Ohio State (3-0) has the 3rd-ranked offense after games versus Oregon State, Rutgers and TCU.

SUATSOhio State won 49-6

Hold Your Horses

The computer likes the favorite, but by fewer points than the oddsmakers so 'take the points'. It's our opinion these are the computer picks in this category that have the best chance of being correct.

This Week 3-0 (1.000) 2-1 (.667)
Last Week 1-0 (1.000) 1-0 (1.000)
This Season 8-1 (.889) 6-3 (.667)
Last Season 30-10 (.750) 22-18 (.550)

UCF (-14) by 3.33 over Florida Atlantic - Saturday, September 21.
UCF will try to extend the nation's longest current winning streak to 16 when Lane Kiffin's FAU Owls invade Orlando on Saturday. The Golden Knights had an unexpected extra week off after this past weekend's trip to North Carolina was canceled due to the anticipated arrival of Hurricane Florence. Central Florida, under new head coach Josh Heupel and QB McKenzie Milton, have the 2nd-ranked offense in the nation after two games but those opponents were UConn (perhaps the worst team in the nation), and South Carolina State (an FCS school).

SUATSUCF won 56-36

ALABAMA (-25.5) by 11.85 over Texas A&M - Saturday, September 22.
(Note: The line was up to 27 on Tuesday night).
Alabama hasn't been tested at all yet. Jimbo Fisher hopes to have his team ready to face the top-ranked Tide in Tuscaloosa. Texas A&M's 5th-ranked offense should post enough points to keep this under the spread. The quarterback duel could be interesting. Aggie QB Kellen Mond has 6 TD passes and no INT's through 3 games, two of which he played less than 3 quarters. Also in abbreviated action, Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa has 8 TD tosses and 0 picks in 3 games.

SUATSAlabama won 45-23

Georgia (-14.5) by 1.35 over MISSOURI - Saturday, September 22.
We took South Carolina against Georgia a couple of weeks ago and that didn't work out too well, but a 14.5-point spread at Missouri seems to be a stretch. Georgia was actually a 1.71-point underdog in the computer's preseason analysis, but is now the favorite by a scant 1.35 points with a trend line around 4-1/2. This is a battle between the Tigers' top ten offense and the 'Bulldogs' top ten defense. 

SUATSGeorgia won 43-29


The computer likes the underdog as the outright winner. This is every upset projected by the computer. We do not select these games, but we do offer commentary/analysis.

This Week 0-3 (.000) 0-3 (.000)
Last Week 3-6 (.333) 4-5 (.444)
This Season 10-13 (.435) 11-12 (.478)
Last Season 49-54 (.476) 62-41 (.602)

Computer's upset picks strike out this week - The computer's upset picks went 0-3 SU and ATS this past weekend, after going 3-6 SU and 4-5 ATS the prior week and pegging Syracuse's upset of Florida State. Before that, it had gone 9 straight weekends with 8 winning records and one even mark. The previous week, the computer was 4-3 SU and ATS while picking the end to Kansas' 46-game road losing streak AND Kentucky's 31-game losing streak to Florida. It got off to a start of 3-1 SU and 3-1 ATS this year after going 3-1, 4-0 in bowl season, 1-0 SU and 1-0 ATS on the Army-Navy game, 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS on championship weekend, and a combined 14-4 SU and 15-3 ATS in the final 3 weeks of November. That's still a total mark of 30-16 SU, (.652) 34-12 ATS (.739) over that period.

RUTGERS by 6.91 over Buffalo (-4.5) - Saturday, September 22.
The computer has Rutgers as an upset pick winner at Kansas last week and lost 55-14 so I wouldn't jump at taking another bite out of that apple. The Bulls are off to a 3-0 start for the first ever when competing at the FBS or 1-A level. The last time they opened 3-0 at ANY level was in 1983 as a 1-AA member. The school re-entered the 1-A ranks in 1999. Rutgers ranks 98th in total defense and 125th in total offense, despite being tied for 8th in best turnover margin.

SUATSBuffalo won 42-13

Louisville by 1.77 over VIRGINIA (-5) - Saturday, September 22.
The 'Ville is struggling more than anyone anticipated in the absence of 2016 Heisman Trophy winner, and 2017 3rd-place finisher, Lamar Jackson. Last week, the Cards needed a second-half rescue from the backup QB to get a 20-17 win over a WKU team that was coming off a loss to FCS Maine. The same backup QB - Malik Cunningham - came off the bench in the previous game to engineer 4 TD"s in a 31-7 win over FCS Indiana State. Note to Bobby Petrino - maybe you should be starting Cunningham instead of Juwon Pass. Meanwhile, Virginia is 2-1 with wins vs. a pretty weak slate - wins over Ohio and Richmond, and a loss at Indiana. At least the 'Ville got to see what quality looks like when it suffered a 51-14 beatdown by Alabama in the opener. Don't be shocked if Louisville wins this one in Charlottesville.

SUATSVirginia won 27-3

Minnesota by 5.66 over MARYLAND (-2.5) - Saturday, September 22.
This matchup is the Big Ten opener for both teams for the second straight year after Maryland won AT Minnesota 31-24 last season. In fact, the visitor has won the only two games played since Maryland joined the Big Ten in 2014. The Terrapins (2-1) were blown out at home by Temple last week, 35-14,  when they were favored by 2 touchdowns and we had them as an Easy Pickins' play to cover. Minnesota (3--0) is ranked 28th by the computer while Maryland (2-1) slid from 47th to 65th.

SUATSMaryland won 42-13

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