About the Data

Lines in parenthesis are the opening lines as reported at DocSports.com. Later lines are used in the event of a "pick 'em" opening. The Congrove Computer Rankings' pick is shown outside the parenthesis. The home team is capitalized.

Easy Pickins

The computer likes the favorite with room to spare. Senior editor Mike Mitchell believes these have the best chance of being correct.

SU ATS
This Week 0-0 (.000) 0-0 (.000)
Last Week 2-1 (.667) 2-1 (.667)
This Season 29-12 (.707) 21-20 (.512)
Last Season 55-23 (.705) 39-39 (.500)

FLORIDA (-10) by 26.30 over Uab - For heaven's sake, this is the SEC vs. CUSA. Even Florida should be able to take care of the Blazers by 2 touchdowns or more. There has to be some pride left in this team. Matchup.

FAU (-14.5) by 15.51 over Florida International - Lane Kiffin vs. Butch Davis. Lane's Owls are, by far, the better team. Though they rank last vs. CUSA foes in total defense, they rank 1st on offense. FIU ranks 7th on defense and 11th on offense. FAU running back Devin Singletary leads the conference in rushing and ranks 6th nationally. The Panthers rank 7th in the conference at stopping the run and 73rd nationally. FIU has a 4-2 lead in the last 6 meetings but FAU leads the all-time series 10-5. The computer trend line has FAU by 22. Matchup.

South Alabama (-6) by 8.34 over GEORGIA SOUTHERN - This should be a piece of cake for the Jaguars as winless Georgia Southern ranks 126th nationally and has been outscored by an average of 37-16. South Alabama can become bowl eligible for the third time in four seasons with a win this week and a follow-up victory at New Mexico State next week. Matchup.

Hold Your Horses

The computer likes the favorite, but by fewer points than the oddsmakers. Senior editor Mike believes these have the best chance of being correct.

SU ATS
This Week 0-0 (.000) 0-0 (.000)
Last Week 2-0 (1.000) 0-2 (.000)
This Season 24-6 (.800) 16-14 (.533)
Last Season 34-13 (.723) 29-18 (.617)

BIOISE STATE (-17.5) by 11.75 over Air Force - Air Force has won the last 3 meetings to take a 3-2 lead in the all-time series. Neither team has won a game in this series by more than 14 points. The AFA is 5th in rushing offense and the Broncos are 19th in rushing defense. Boise State is just 65th in total offense and the Falcons are 50th in total defense. Matchup.

Houston (-9.5) over TULANE by 6.44 - The computer trend line has Houston by 4. These teams are fairly close statistically (within 40 yards of each other on both sides of the ball). Tulane likes to run, Houston likes to throw. The Green Wave rank 3rd in the conference at stopping the pass. The Cougars rank 2nd at stopping the run. Tulane has just 1 win in this series in the last 13 meetings, but I'm not looking for a Green Wave victory - just a close game.  Matchup.

OKLAHOMA STATE (-20.5) by 12.41 over Kansas State - The computer trend line favors OSU by 20, but Kansas State is a .500 ball club that is striving to become bowl eligible and shouldn't be an easy out. The Wildcats have one loss all season by 20 which came against TCU at home on October 14. You have to go back to 1987 to find an Oklahoma State win in this series that would cover this week's spread. Matchup.

I removed the Hawaii-Utah State game due to some confusion on the spread

Upsets

The computer likes the underdog as the outright winner. This is every upset projected by the computer. Senior editor Mike Mitchell does not select these games, but does offer commentary.

SU ATS
This Week 2-0 (1.000) 2-0 (1.000)
Last Week 7-1 (.875) 7-1 (.875)
This Season 38-49 (.437) 48-39 (.552)
Last Season 33-52 (.388) 42-43 (.494)

Eastern Michigan by 5.21 over MIAMI (O) (-3.5) - Eastern Michigan has suffered three regulation time losses by 5 points or less, and 3 more losses in overtime. The Eagles are 3-7 and playing for pride while Miami becomes bowl qualified with just one more win, but the computer trend line favors EMU by 7. Matchup.

SUATSEastern Michigan won 27-24.

WESTERN KENTUCKY by 7.59 over Middle Tennessee (-3) - Both teams are 3-3 in conference and 5-5 overall. The Blue Raiders have won 2 straight while the Hilltoppers have dropped 3 in-a-row. The computer trend line favors WKU by 6-1/2. Matchup.

SUATSWestern Kentucky won 41-38 in Triple-OT.

Army by 11.42 over NORTH TEXAS (-3) - These teams played twice last year with UNT taking the regular season clash and the Black Knights exacting revenge in the Zaxby's Heart Of Dallas Bowl. UNT (7-3) leads CUSA in total offense and ranks 17th nationally. Army ranks 2nd nationally in rushing offense. The Black Knights (8-2) rank 32nd in total defense while the Mean Green rank 83rd in total defense and 71st at stopping the run. Matchup.

UTSA by 0.42 over Marshall (-1.5) - UTSA (5-4, 2-4 CUSA) hosts a Marshall squad (7-3, 4-2 CUSA) that has already won 4 more games than it did a year ago. The Herd were suppose to finish last in their division and the Roadrunners were expected to take 2nd. But right now, Marshall is 2nd in the East and UTSA is tied for 4th in the West. Head coach Frank Wilson is trying to get the Roadrunners bowl eligible for the second consecutive season in his second season at the helm. UTSA is statistically better on both sides of the ball. Matchup.

Texas A&M by 6.18 over MISSISSIPPI (-3) - I'm surprised to find that the computer takes A&M over the Rebels, especially on the road. Kevin Sumlin's team has only played two true road games this year and both wound up in tight finishes with the Aggies collapsing at UCLA to start the season and squeaking past Florida in Gainesville on October 14. But even on the computer trend line, Ole Miss is a 3.5-point underdog. Matchup.

Arizona by 0.12 over OREGON (-1.5) - This game opened as a pick 'em and only moved toward Oregon on a single sportsbook on Wednesday. I have no faith in either team. I'd rather forget 'em than pick 'em but the computer trend line has the Wildcats by 9. Matchup.

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