Commentary
Suggested Changes For
BCS
by Dave Congrove
12/12/01 12:46 am
est
Q: How many members of the BCS does it take to screw a light
bulb?
A: They screw light bulbs, too?
But seriously, folks - the BCS is far from being a laughing
matter to some coaches and administrators. The folks at Oregon,
in particular, have taken issue with its results to the extent
that coach Mike Bellotti called the BCS a "cancer"
and athletic director Bill Moos believes "there is an east
coast bias against the PAC-10".
Colorado coach Gary Barnett was a little more grounded with his
remarks. He was stating the obvious when he pondered the logic
of having Nebraska compete for the national championship when
they did not win their own conference.
I can fully empathize with their disappointment at not having
a crack at the holy grail but let's not lose sight of the fact
that all of the participating conferences agreed to go with the
system. The rules were in place before the first football was
teed up in August.
That said, I still believe some changes to need to be made. And
one change that was made, needs to be undone.
Last Friday (12/7), USA Today asked for suggestions on how the
BCS could be improved. (Playoff scenarios were supposedly off-limits).
I emailed them a response but, alas, it was not among those printed
in Tuesday's (12/11) cover story.
However, I felt I would print my letter here and at least share
my thoughts with CFP visitors.
Unintentionally, the letter also serves as a follow-up to a commentary
I penned back in October, "BCS Bashing Has Big Bandwagon".
I encourage you to read that piece before you proceed to the
following letter, which I have admittedly refined a bit from
its original form.
There are some steps that can easily be taken to improve the
BCS ratings and reduce confusion at the same time.
As operator of College Football
Poll.com and creator of the Congrove Computer Rankings, which
I have been conducting for nine years, I constantly evaluate
the strengths and weaknesses of the BCS. I receive loads of email
asking me specific questions regarding BCS
Rankings issues, and have taken much time to consider the implications
of my proposed solutions.
1. Eliminate SOS. Before you scream, "what?",
hear
me out. Every computer ranker and, for that matter,
every individual voter, already considers strength of schedule.
The BCS is not only being redundant, they are concocting their
SOS number in the wrong fashion.
They use simple won-loss records as a measurement instead of
the strength of the opponents. For instance, if a team played
Middle Tennessee State (no knock on the Blue Raiders), they got
credit for playing an 8-3 team. A different team that played
Virginia Tech also got credit for playing an 8-3 team.
Problem? In the Congrove Computer Rankings, for example, MTSU
has a power rating of 68.19. Virginia Tech's power rating is
92.23.
The BCS is comparing apples and oranges and calling them both
apples.
2. Eliminate Quality Wins. This was wrongly implemented
after last year's perceived debacle in not having Miami in the
championship game. Quality Wins, again, is yet another redundancy
of "strength of schedule".
3. Don't throw out the high and low computer scores. You have eight computers. Use them. Then simply average their
results, just as you do the AP and Coaches Polls.
4. Better yet, throw
out the AP and Coaches Polls. There
isn't a single voter in either of those polls who can objectively
rate all 117 teams. And now they are open to manipulation by
those who are discontent with the computers. Did the coach who
voted BYU #1 in the December 2 coaches poll honestly believe
that was the best team in the land at the time? Nothing against
BYU.
5. Finally, by benefit of hindsight, any team that does
not even win its own conference should be ineligible for playing
in the national championship, regardless of its rankings. Nothing against Nebraska.
Four of those five proposals are simple steps to implement. The
suggestion of doing away with the AP and Coaches Polls is probably
less realistic than having a fair play-off system devised.
In closing, the BCS may also want to consider hiring a qualified
individual for public relations. Someone who can speak intelligently
from a football-related sense about the use of computers so that
confused broadcast analysts and sportswriters can stop misinforming
the public.
Of course, for some people, there is not a single thing you can
do to stop them from having a good whine. Just hand them some
cheese and crackers and move on.
Also See:
Whining About Whining About the BCS
Lack Of Quality Leadership Opens The BCS To Annual
Controversy
BCS Bashing Has Big Bandwagon
Did BCS Do The Right Things With Its Changes?
Computer
Rankings and National Titles |