Google
Home Top 125 Polls Picks/Scores Feature Picks Odds PreGame PostGame Standings Bowls History Teams Links News Forum Season Preview More...

2009
College Football
Season Preview

Congrove Computer Rankings
Projected Final Regular Season
CCR Top 120
(Updated: 7/18/09


These are the computer's Projected Final Rankings for the end of the regular season. They do not include the ACC, Big 12, CUSA, MAC and SEC Championship games or Bowl Games. These are NOT presented in order of team power. They reflect a combination of team power and W-L record.

College Football Poll.com's unique preseason forecast is based on the Congrove Computer Rankings which "plays" every game and projects what should happen based on a number of factors that include each teams' returning talent and difficulty of schedule.

Since its inception in 1993, the computer's preseason projections have correctly pegged the exact national title match-up three times (1993, 1998, 2005), and at least one national title contestant 11 times (1993, 1995, 1996, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005 and 2007). The team it picked to win the title has played in the title game seven times (1993, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2003, 2004, 2005), and won the title three times (1993, 1998, 1999).

This year, the computer gives undefeated regular season records to six teams with USC, Utah, Alabama and Michigan State joining Florida and Oklahoma. That many teams do not typically manage to escape a season unscathed, though it is a fairly common number to see in a preseason mathematical assessment. Every single game is "played" by the computer, so the wins and losses are reconciled across the board.

In 2004, the computer correctly projected that USC, Oklahoma, Boise State and Utah would finish the regular season without a blemish. Auburn also ran the table that year.

Given the fact that each team only plays about 10% of the 120-team field, the argument could be made that multiple teams should go undefeated each and every season. However, math can not predict which teams will succumb to pressure, make too many mistakes, take the huge underdog opponent lightly, lose key players to injuries, or encounter bad luck.

That's why no one can claim a trophy until the games are played and won.

About the computer.

Click on the School link to see projected game-by-game results.


PROJECTED TEAM RANKINGS (End of Regular Season)
Rank School W-L
1. Florida 12-0
2. Oklahoma 12-0
3. USC 12-0
4. Texas 11-1
5. Utah 12-0
6. Alabama 12-0
7. Michigan State 12-0
8. Virginia Tech 11-1
9. Ohio State 11-1
10. Tulsa 11-1
11. Boise State 12-1
12. Pitt 11-1
13. Texas Tech 10-2
14. Georgia 10-2
15. Penn State 10-2
16. Florida State 10-2
17. California 10-2
18. TCU 10-2
19. BYU 10-2
20. West Virginia 10-2
21. Rutgers 10-2
22. Temple 11-1
23. Troy 10-2
24. Oklahoma State 9-3
25. LSU 9-3
26. Iowa 9-3
27. Kansas 9-3
28. Oregon State 9-3
29. Missouri 9-3
30. Mississippi 9-3
31. Central Michigan 9-3
32. Cincinnati 9-3
33. Nevada 9-3
34. Oregon 8-4
35. Houston 9-3
36. Arizona 8-4
37. Buffalo 9-3
38. Vanderbilt 8-4
39. East Carolina 8-4
40. Middle Tennessee 9-3
41. Boston College 8-4
42. Clemson 8-4
43. Wake Forest 8-4
44. Fresno State 8-4
55. Notre Dame 8-4
46. Southern Miss 8-4
47. Air Force 8-4
48. Ball State 8-4
49. Nebraska 7-5
50. Georgia Tech 7-5
51. Rice 7-5
52. Minnesota 7-5
53. North Carolina 7-5
54. Arkansas 7-5
55. Connecticut 7-5
56. Northwestern 7-5
57. Louisiana Tech 7-5
58. Western Michigan 7-5
59. Miami (Fla.) 6-6
60. Stanford 6-6
Rank School W-L
61. USF 6-6
62. Illinois 6-6
63. Kentucky 6-6
64. Wisconsin 6-6
65. Tennessee  6-6
66. Colorado 6-6
67. Lousiana-Lafayette 6-6
68. FIU 6-6
69. Arkansas State 6-6
70. Akron 6-6
71. Baylor 5-7
72. Auburn 5-7
73. UCLA 5-7
74. UTEP 5-7
75. Bowling Green 5-7
76. San Jose State 5-7
77. Michigan 5-7
78. FAU 5-7
79. Marshall 5-7
80. UNLV 5-7
81. New Mexico 5-7
82. Northern Illinois 5-7
83. Navy 5-8
84. Ohio 5-7
85. Hawaii 5-8
86. South Carolina 4-8
87. Arizona State 4-8
88. Maryland 4-8
89. N. C. State 4-8
90. Memphis 4-8
91. UCF 4-8
92. UAB 4-8
93. Toledo 4-8
94. Colorado State 4-8
95. Utah State 4-8
96. Kansas State 4-8
97. Louisville 3-9
98. Virginia 3-9
99. Kent State 3-9
100. Louisiana-Monroe 3-9
101. Wyoming 3-9
102. Duke 3-9
103. Purdue 2-10
104. Indiana 2-10
105. Eastern Michigan 2-10
106. Tulane 2-10
107. SMU 2-10
108. Washington 2-10
109. Iowa State 2-10
110. North Texas 2-10
111. San Diego State 2-10
112. New Mexico State 2-11
113. Mississippi State 1-11
114. Texas A&M 1-11
115. Syracuse 1-11
116. Washington State 1-11
117. Western Kentucky 1-11
118. Idaho 1-11
119. Army 1-11
120. Miami (O.) 0-12

CONFERENCE POWER RANKINGS
Rank Conference Power
1. SEC 73.58
2. Big 12 72.47
3. Big Ten 70.22
4. PAC-10 70.12
5. ACC 69.71
6. Big East 69.53
Rank Conference Power
7. CUSA 65.58
8. Mountain West 65.37
9. WAC 62.91
10. MAC 61.98
11. Sun Belt 60.15
12. Indpendents 58.73

DIVISION POWER RANKINGS
Rank Conference Power
1. Big 12 South 78.51
2. SEC East 75.74
3. SEC West 71.43
4. ACC Atlantic 70.43
5. Big Ten 70.22
6. PAC-10 70.12
7. Big East 69.53
8. ACC Coastal 68.98
9. Big 12 North 66.43
Rank Conference Power
10. CUSA East 65.98
11. Mountain West 65.37
12. CUSA West 65.18
13. MAC West 63.39
14. WAC 62.91
15. MAC East 60.52
16. Sun Belt 60.15
17. Independents 58.73