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2011-2012
College Football Bowl Games
Confidence Points


2011 Bowl Games - Confidence Points

by Staff
December 11, 2011 (Final Update through games of 1/9/12)

A popular pick 'em game for college football fans is to not only pick bowl winners, but to also assign confidence points to their picks. The goal is to accumulate more points than your friends.

The format is simple - pick a winner of all 35 games and, depending on how confident you are of each pick becoming reality, rank them in order of 1-35. You assign 35 to the pick that gives you the most confidence, and assign 1 to the pick that gives you the least confidence. No number can be assigned more than once. The maximum number of points anyone can accumulate with a perfect record is 630.

Here is how the computer would rank its' picks, based on the computer's projected margin of victory for each bowl winner:

Assigned Bowl Game Computer's Pick Pts. Won Pts. Lost
35 Insight Oklahoma 20.74 over Iowa 35  
34 MAACO Las Vegas Boise State 16.03 over Arizona State 34  
33 Meineke Car Care Texas Texas A&M 13.62 over Northwestern 33  
32 Independence Missouri 13.25 over North Carolina 32  
31 Music City Mississippi State 11.36 over Wake Forest 31  
30 New Mexico Temple 10.92 over Wyoming 30  
29 Poinsettia TCU 10.20 over Louisiana Tech 29  
28 New Orleans San Diego State 9.46 over La.-Lafayette   28
27 Fiesta Oklahoma State 9.42 over Stanford 27  
26 Cotton Arkansas 9.04 over Kansas State 26  
25 TicketCIty Houston 8.36 over Penn State 25  
24 Alamo Baylor 7.44 over Washington 24  
23 Beef 'O' Brady's FIU 5.61 over Marshall   23
22 Kraft Fight Hunger Illinois 5.32 over UCLA 22  
21 Holiday Texas 5.30 over California 21  
20 Outback Michigan State 4.32 over Georgia 20  
19 Military Toledo 4.24 over Air Force 19  
18 BCS Championship LSU 4.16 over Alabama   18
17 Liberty Cincinnati 3.92 over Vanderbilt 17  
16 Sugar Michigan 3.16 over Virginia Tech 16  
15 Little Caesar's Pizza Western Michigan 3.11 over Purdue   15
14 Champs Sports Florida State 3.04 over Notre Dame 14  
13 BBVA Compass Pittsburgh 2.84 over SMU   13
12 Armed Forces Tulsa 2.81 over BYU   12
11 Sun Utah 2.32 over Georgia Tech 11  
10 Gator Ohio State 2.28 over Florida   10
9 Hawai'i Southern Miss 1.97 over Nevada 9  
8 Chick-fil-A Auburn 1.81 over Virginia 8  
7 Rose Wisconsin 1.73 over Oregon   7
6 Belk N. C. State 1.36 over Louisville 6  
5 Orange Clemson 0.87 over West Virginia   5
4 Pinstripe Rutgers 0.665 over Iowa State 4  
3 GoDaddy.com Northern Illinois 0.660 over Arkansas State 3  
2 Capital One Nebraska 0.41 over South Carolina   2
1 Famous Idaho Potato Utah State 0.11 over Ohio   1
Totals 496 134
Maximum Points Possible (perfect score =630): 496  

Confidence Points Picks and Results: 2008 - 2009 - 2010 - 2011 - 2012 - 2013