Tuesday, November 4
Bowling Green by 2.49 over AKRON (-5) - BGSU has won 5 straight in the series, but the computer trend line for this week's matchup actually points to the home-standing Zips by 9.
Bowling Green won 27-10. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Wednesday, November 5
BALL STATE by 0.75 over Northern Illinois (-3) - The Huskies have owned the Cardinals with wins in the last 5 meetings, and 12 of the last 15. But this week, the computer trend line points to BSU by 2.
Northern Illinois won 35-21, scoring 21 points on 5 BSU turnovers. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
Saturday, November 8
UNLV by 0.43 over Air Force (-6.5) - I have a difficult time even fathoming that UNLV will put down Air Force. Perhaps it's a good time to draw the Falcons since they're coming off a high of having clinched the Commander-In-Chief's Trophy, but everything on paper points to the Air Force improving its record to 7-2 and dropping UNLV to 2-8. The computer trend line points to the AFA by double-digits. Statistically, the Rebels are significantly outranked on both sides of the ball.
Air Force won 48-21. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
Louisiana-Monroe by 4.74 over APPALACHIAN STATE (-2.5) - UL-L is a 12.05-point favorite on the computer's trend line.
Appalachian State won 31-29. The computer lost SU, won ATS.
Notre Dame by 3.82 over ARIZONA STATE (-2) - The computer trend line has Notre Dame by a little over 2 points. ASU outranks the Irish on offense nationally, 23rd to 36th. Notre Dame gets the defense edge, 41st to 60th. Both teams are 7-1 and fighting to stay in the Final 4 conversation. The loser will essentially be eliminated from the discussion.
Arizona State won 55-31. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
NORTH TEXAS by 1.86 over Fau (-4) - FAU is a 1.44-point favorite on the computer's trend line.
North Texas won 31-10. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Fiu by 3.11 over OLD DOMINION (-3) - ODU can score some points, but the upstart Monarchs can't stop water in a bucket as they've allowed an average of 48.17 over the last 6 games to rank 123rd nationally (out of 128 teams). Among those last 6 opponents, ODU surrendered 56 to Marshall and 66 to Western Kentucky. For FIU, points have been hard to come by as the Panthers only average 21 per game, and just 14 per game in the last 3 outings. But, FIU has only allowed an average of 23.9. The trend line favors FIU by 4.8.
Old Dominion won 38-35. The computer lost SU, won ATS.
TEXAS STATE by 3.39 over Georgia Southern (-10) - Texas State has won 4 of its last 5 games to improve to 5-3 on the season. Georgia Southern is the surprising leader of the Sun Belt at 7-2 overall and 6-0 in the conference. The Eagles lead the nation in rushing at 402 yards per game. Texas State ranks 111th against the run so this upset pick looks awfully shaky right from the start. The computer trend line further blows it out of the water as it indicates that Georgia Southern should be favored by 15.
Georgia Southern won 28-25. The computer lost SU, won ATS.
MINNESOTA by 1.95 over Iowa (-2.5) - The computer trend line points to Iowa by 4.31, but this battle for the Floyd of Rosedale trophy could go either way as the teams are statistically close, and each control their own destiny in the Big Ten's West division title hunt. Minnesota (6-2) hosts Ohio State next week and then hits the road for Nebraska and Wisconsin to close out the season. Iowa (6-2) gets Wisconsin and Nebraska at home after visiting Illinois next week. Minnesota suffered a surprising home loss to Illinois in its last outing but has had an extra week to regroup. Iowa posted a 48-7 shellacking of Northwestern last week. The teams are meeting for the 108th time overall.
Minnesota won 51-14. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Michigan by 1.70 over NORTHWESTERN (-2) - Northwestern was blasted 48-7 at Iowa last week while Michigan woke up with a 34-10 win over Indiana. The trend line favors Michigan by 3.24.
Michigan won 10-9. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Ohio State by 2.52 over MICHIGAN STATE (-2) - The trend line likes OSU by 4.61 in this battle for the outright lead in the Big Ten's East division. A division title, conference crown, and final 4 playoff berth are all that's riding on the outcome.
Ohio State won 49-37. The computer won SU, won ATS.
TEXAS by 2.22 over West Virginia (-4) - WVU has been one of this season's biggest surprises, bit a loss to the Horned Frogs dropped the Mountaineers' record to 6-3 overall and 4-2 in the conference. Texas enters at 4-5 overall, 3-3 in the conference, and needing to win 2 of its last 3 games just to become bowl eligible. Unfortunately for Longhorn fans, the computer's trend line points to WVU winning by 10.
Texas won 33-16. The computer won SU, won ATS.