Thursday, September 3
Troy (-3) by 5.03 over BOWLING GREEN - Troy has won or shared the last three Sun Belt titles. This season's team may be the best that Troy has fielded since moving up to the FBS level in 2001. The Trojans' last visit to the Buckeye State almost produced an upset over the Buckeyes themselves last September. The Dave Clawson era begins at BGSU while Troy begins its' 19th season under Larry Blakeney.
Bowling Green won 31-14. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
Friday, September 4
Tulsa (-14) by 25.22 over TULANE - The computer likes the Golden Hurricane by 11+ points more than the oddsmakers. Gone are record-setting QB David Johnson (7th round NFL Draft, Pittsburgh), career rushing leader Tarrion Adams (3,651 yards), and co-offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn (hired by Auburn). Together, they helped the Golden Hurricane average a nation's-best 569.86 yards per game, and score an average of 47.21 points. But what's to worry about? Tulane has lost all 4 CUSA games to Tulsa by at least 24 points.
Tulsa won 37-13. The computer won SU, won ATS.
Saturday, September 5
EASTERN MICHIGAN (-4.5) by 16.94 over Army - Ron English debuts as head coach for EMU. Rich Ellerson has his debut with Army. Both teams are coming off 3-9 seasons. I don't have enough enthusiasm for EMU to agree with the computer's 17-point margin, but returning experience weighs heavily in the Eagles' favor and home field advantage doesn't hurt.
Army won 27-14. The computer lost SU, lost ATS.
Kentucky (-10) by 17.14 over Miami, Ohio at Cincinnati - All the major preseason publications have both of these teams at or near the bottom of their respective divisions, but 10 points proved to be a weak opening line set by the oddsmakers. The Red Hawks lost last year's season opener at home to Vanderbilt by 21 points. This game will be the head coaching debut for Miami's Michael Haywood.
Kentucky won 42-0. Computer won SU, won ATS.
TEXAS (-36) by 39.28 over Louisiana-Monroe - Texas is opening at home against a Sun Belt team for the 6th straight season. The Longhorns won four of the previous five matchups with SBC teams by at least 42 points.
Texas won 59-20. The compute won SU, won ATS.
Lsu (-14) by 24.41 over WASHINGTON - After a down year, LSU is expected to be back in the mix for the SEC West title. The Huskies are coming off a disastrous 0-12 season and haven't posted a winning season since 2002. New head coach Steve Sarkisian inherits a Washington team that was outscored 463-159 last year.
LSU won 31-23. The computer won SU, lost ATS.
Minnesota (-6) by 14.96 over SYRACUSE - Doug Marrone is the new head coach at Syracuse which has just two home wins over FBS teams in the last two seasons combined. Minnesota's Tim Brewster was 1-11 in his debut campaign in 2007, but improved to 7-6 last year. However, the Golden Gophers begin the season on a 5-game losing streak.
Minnesota won 23-20 in OT. The computer won SU, lost ATS.
Monday, September 7
FLORIDA STATE (-4) by 8.97 over Miami, Fla. - FSU has won three of the last four meetings, but all of the victories were by 3 points or less. This year, the 'Noles enter the season as prohibitive divisional favorites in the ACC Atlantic while Miami is a consensus 4th-place pick in the Coastal division.
Miami won 38-34. The computter lost SU, lost ATS.