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2015 SEC
College Football
Season Preview


Please note: Our conference reports analyze what the Congrove Computer Rankings preseason forecast predicts. Team power ratings change weekly during the season to reflect the actual results of the games. For projecting results, 3 points are added to the home team.

During the 2014 season, from beginning to end, including bowl games:
Overall, 9 teams gained 10 or more "power points". TCU led the gainers at 19.79, followed by Georgia Southern at 18.98.
Among current SEC teams, Arkansas gained the most 18.29 points.
Overall, 21 teams gained 5.00 - 9.99 points.
Overall, 26 teams gained less than 5 points.
Overall, 37 teams fell less than 5 points.
Overall, 25 teams fell 5.00-9.99 points.
Overall, 10 teams fell 10 power points or more. SMU fell the most at 15.26, followed by UTSA at 14.74.
Among current SEC teams, Vanderbilt fell the most at 12.58
Overall, the average change of teams in 2014 was a loss of 0.33 points.
Among current SEC teams, the average change in 2014 was a gain of 1.93 points.

2015 Conference Preview
2015 PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH
SEC Eastern
  Team Over-All
W-L
Conf.
W-L
Nat'l
Rank
Power
Rating
Sched.
Rank
1. Georgia 10-2 7-1 14 83.93 30
2 Missouri 10-2 6-2 20 78.58 51
3 Tennessee 9-3 5-3 26 77.69 39
4 South Carolina 6-6 3-5 58 71.46 26
5 *-Kentucky 4-8 1-7 85 65.57 42
  *-Florida 3-9 1-7 89 65.06 8
  *-Vanderbilt 2-10 1-7 97 65.99 19
*-Tie-breaker: Kentucky, Florida and Vanderbilt go 1-1 vs. each other
SEC Western
  Team Over-All
W-L
Conf.
W-L
Nat'l
Rank
Power
Rating
Sched.
Rank
1. Alabama 12-0 8-0 2 87.14 7
2. Mississippi 11-1 7-1 9 83.77 32
3. Texas A&M 9-3 6-2 18 81.20 10
4. LSU 8-4 4-4 36 77.39 38
5. Arkansas 7-5 3-5 41 79.40 9
6. Auburn 6-6 2-6 52 77.09 18
7. Mississippi State 6-6 2-6 54 75.08 22
*-Tie-breaker: Auburn beats Mississippi State

Championship: Saturday, Dec. 5 in Atlanta at time TBA on CBS
Georgia VS. Alabama

Conference Champ
Alabama
Title Game Result: Alabama by 3.21

Also See:
SEC Media Preseason Poll
All-SEC Preseason Team

Preview

Western division teams have won the last 6 SEC titles and, according to the Congrove Computer Rankings, Alabama is the favorite to make it 7 straight in 2015.

It would be the 3rd SEC crown in 4 years for the Crimson Tide, and their 4th in 7 years.

The computer sees 'Bama running the table, and then beating Georgia in the championship game. But it won't be easy.

Alabama is little more than a 3-point favorite in the title game, and only gets a 0.21-point edge in the regular season contest in Athens on October 3rd. The Tide is also a mere 2.94-point computer choice at Texas A&M on October 17th, and also has to travel to Auburn in the annual season-ending Iron Bowl rivalry clash. Nick Saban's boys are projected to beat Wisconsin by 11.67 points in the season-opener in Arlington, Texas.

The Western division of the SEC is rated the toughest in all of college football, while the Eastern division is ranked below the PAC-12 South and the Big Ten East, and just ahead of the ACC Coastal. The conference as a whole, also ranks as the toughest with the PAC-12 taking 2nd-place honors in that category.

Ole Miss is somewhat surprisingly projected to finish 2nd in 'Bama's division. The Rebels open the season just 3.37 power points behind 'Bama and are forecasted to go 11-1 with the only forecasted loss getting handed to them in Tuscaloosa. Texas A&M is 3rd, which means potential powerhouses LSU and Auburn are stuck in the 4th- and 5th-place slots, respectively. Despite being picked to come in last in the division, Mississippi State only trails 'Bama by 12.06 power points. None of the 7 Western division teams are picked to finish below 6-6 overall.

The Eastern division is more firmly believed to be Georgia's to lose. The 'Dawgs have a 5.35-point power edge over Missouri, and a 6.24-point gap over projected 3rd-place Tennessee. But those are the only teams in that division that are expected to finish above .500, while South Carolina is projected to go 6-6.

Florida, under new head coach Jim McElwain, is kicked down into a 3-way tie with Kentucky and Vanderbilt for for the division cellar.

Ultimately, Alabama is naturally among the computer's final four teams, but it has Georgia Tech taking down the Tide in the semifinals. Ohio State edges Michigan State in the other semifinal matchup and goes on to repeat as national champs.




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